Sep 29, 2023
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc
CMG
Statistics
| $51.78 | Share Price |
| $36.00 | Fair Value |
| 43.83% | Price vs Fair Value |
| $70.5 B | Market Cap |
| 14.4% | 3yr Avg Revenue Growth |
| 13.3% | Projected Sales Growth Next Year |
| 15.5% | Free Cash Flow ROIC |
 | Rising Revenues |
| Recurring Revenues |
 | Brand Moat |
Stock Research and Updates
Research Article
Updates
A Delicious Q2 For Chipotle
Jul 27, 2024
Q1 Updates For Visa, Chipotle, and ServiceNow
Apr 26, 2024
Fair Value Calculation Assumptions
Using a discounted free cash flow model with the following assumptions, the Fair Value estimate for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc (CMG) is $36.00.
| 14.0% | Free Cash Flow Margin |
| 11.0% | Discount Rate / Required Rate of Return |
| 10.5% | Average Annual Revenue Growth (Years 1-5) |
| -1.0% | Average Annual Share Dilution (Years 1-5) |
| 7.8% | Average Annual Revenue Growth (Years 6-10) |
| -1.0% | Average Annual Share Dilution (Years 6-10) |
| 6.0% | Terminal Growth Rate |
| $35.61 | Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flows |
| $0.93 | Net "Excess" Cash/Debt Per Share |
| $36.00 | Fair Value Estimate (rounded) |
Last updated Apr 24, 2025
Information contained on this website represents only the opinions of the author and should not be used as the sole basis for investing decisions. By using this site, you agree to all statements in the Site Policy.
Watch List
| APPF | -3.02% |
| CMG | 43.83% |
| VEEV | 16.09% |
| INTU | 19.56% |
| WDAY | -7.52% |
| PSTG | -0.65% |
| RDDT | 18.10% |
| NTNX | 24.37% |
| CRWD | 94.01% |
| SE | 26.50% |
| SNOW | 13.14% |
vs. Fair Value Estimates
Buy List
| PINS | -36.44% |
| SEMR | -33.35% |
| TSM | -40.82% |
| ZETA | -27.00% |
| GOOG | -49.43% |
| NYAX | -28.98% |
| MSFT | -28.62% |
| ODD | -29.76% |
| FLYW | -42.32% |
| HRMY | -59.44% |
| YOU | -38.27% |
| ABNB | -31.17% |
| ADBE | -42.81% |
vs. Fair Value Estimates
Hold List
| ASML | -22.86% |
| VTEX | -14.24% |
| ASR | -23.26% |
| CELH | 46.96% |
| TOST | 20.33% |
| CPNG | -11.55% |
| HIMS | -19.74% |
| PAYC | -18.13% |
| MNDY | 18.61% |
| GLBE | -21.26% |
| ZS | 32.26% |
| V | -7.16% |
| ADSK | -0.03% |
| NOW | 14.16% |
| MELI | -23.30% |
| FTNT | -0.20% |
| TEAM | 0.30% |
vs. Fair Value Estimates