Some Good, Some Bad In Toast's Q2
Aug 11, 2024
Toast, our restaurant management platform provider, reported a solid quarter on the face of it, with revenues up 27% and annual recurring revenue up 29%. Payment volume processed grew 26%, and total locations using the platform expanded 29%. These are all signs of a growing, healthy business. The firm achieved GAAP profitability for the first time, and free cash flow generation continues to strengthen. One concern is the share dilution rate - share count bloated by 11% this quarter. Investors have to be wary of this as it "waters down" the benefits of the company's growth for existing shareholders. Adjusting my model for it, I think a slight cut in the fair value is warranted. I'm lowering it by a buck down to $28.50. That said, Toast stock still looks buyable at current prices.
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Watch List
| APPF | -3.02% |
| CMG | 43.83% |
| VEEV | 16.09% |
| INTU | 19.56% |
| WDAY | -7.52% |
| PSTG | -0.65% |
| RDDT | 18.10% |
| NTNX | 24.37% |
| CRWD | 94.01% |
| SE | 26.50% |
| SNOW | 13.14% |
vs. Fair Value Estimates
Buy List
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| HRMY | -59.44% |
| YOU | -38.27% |
| ABNB | -31.17% |
| ADBE | -42.81% |
vs. Fair Value Estimates
Hold List
| ASML | -22.86% |
| VTEX | -14.24% |
| ASR | -23.26% |
| CELH | 46.96% |
| TOST | 20.33% |
| CPNG | -11.55% |
| HIMS | -19.74% |
| PAYC | -18.13% |
| MNDY | 18.61% |
| GLBE | -21.26% |
| ZS | 32.26% |
| V | -7.16% |
| ADSK | -0.03% |
| NOW | 14.16% |
| MELI | -23.30% |
| FTNT | -0.20% |
| TEAM | 0.30% |
vs. Fair Value Estimates